Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 112.538341 123.657778 134.940887 147.222472 160.189553 173.449780 188.010789
2026-01-25 89.957865 106.078412 123.134544 142.419626 163.515930 185.795436 211.006277
2026-02-01 73.703377 93.138219 114.539150 139.592823 167.866028 198.550445 234.136768
2026-02-08 61.973774 83.744529 108.640329 138.718937 173.599846 212.340848 258.191761
2026-02-15 53.789512 77.427389 105.415374 140.188983 181.469201 228.212929 284.460678
2026-02-22 48.694730 74.182592 105.297246 144.884664 192.796871 247.904663 315.095284
2026-03-01 43.285832 69.898589 103.401295 147.026711 200.807462 263.574497 341.034929
2026-03-08 37.475082 64.438434 99.502270 146.255698 204.961945 274.463847 361.242429
2026-03-15 33.634824 61.218658 98.135984 148.374466 212.439378 289.186634 385.927583
2026-03-22 31.190954 59.687865 98.787656 152.917896 222.833509 307.400037 414.817929
2026-03-29 28.432749 57.397044 98.186771 155.656650 230.844915 322.661519 440.170177
2026-04-05 26.320630 55.851055 98.442476 159.401077 240.060162 339.378945 467.316744
2026-04-12 24.028073 53.858030 98.002900 162.239402 248.237776 355.036516 493.520276
2026-04-19 19.596296 47.897304 91.473838 156.472678 244.999526 356.299323 501.987416
2026-04-26 16.348848 43.494432 86.895825 153.119567 244.713958 361.126731 514.765737
2026-05-03 14.014560 40.390085 84.041546 152.002560 247.266915 369.476161 531.895289
2026-05-10 12.482554 38.577779 83.051662 153.456092 253.224913 382.172624 554.502673
2026-05-17 11.771910 38.290160 84.445300 158.369261 263.916668 401.033592 584.976549
2026-05-24 10.634498 36.974977 84.068000 160.603594 270.900405 415.089726 609.415175
2026-05-31 9.102228 34.575451 81.724186 159.771050 273.548751 423.438645 626.585965
2026-06-07 8.208142 33.452724 81.447415 162.002129 280.444394 437.365719 650.918373
2026-06-14 7.762814 33.318073 82.849198 166.798998 290.972444 456.134383 681.539872
2026-06-21 7.091988 32.529022 83.039969 169.689367 298.794738 471.337863 707.625844